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    Sep
    30

    DIY mentality is killing jobs

    Posted In: Job Losses by doug

    The ever increasing ‘do-it-yourself’ (DIY) mentality is one of the largest job killers.  And nearly every industry is deploying some type of DIY initiative.  We check out our own groceries from the grocery store, handle nearly all of our own banking without a banker, repair our own homes and will soon check in our own luggage when we fly.  Each of these DIY developments requires less employees.

    During the R&D (Research & Development) and deployment phases of these new inventions there is a certain level of job creation.  But once implemented, the number of FTE positions that go away is much greater than the job creation created.  And when the economy is declining, even R&D  slows.  A lot of this adds to the talk of a ‘jobless recovery.’

    hersheyThis all sparks memory of a story about Milton S. Hershey.  Hershey built an entire empire around job creation.  From chocolate, to schools, to an amusement park, Hershey was all about job creation.   During the great depression, a snow plow operator approached him with an example of how much payroll Hershey could save if he hired his company to plow the streets of Hershey, PA instead of using full-time employees to manually shovel the streets.  Hershey proudly rejected the offer because that would mean eliminating jobs rather than creating them.

    With that said folks…….it will be job creation that leads us out of this recession.  Not job elimination.

    Sep
    28

    89% want to change careers

    Posted In: Career Pathways by doug

    At least that is what a recent Monster.com survey reported last week after Monster surveyed over 22,000 of its’ visitors.  Of course when you ask a visitor of a job board if they are looking to make a change, the chances are very, very good that they are.  That is why they are there….to conduct a job search!

    Interesting results, but I question the validity of how the questions were posed:

    • Yes, I’ve been wanting to make a career change – 49% (10,975 votes)
    • Sure, my current industry is suffering in this economy – 18% (3,921 votes)
    • Maybe, I need to take the first job I can get – 22% (4,994 votes)
    • No, I would not consider taking a job in another industry at this time – 11% (2,554 votes)

    We will see a significant amount of ’shift’ in Las Vegas and Nevada in the upcoming years as our economy rebounds.  As we all know… ‘a recession makes for great retention.’  But as new jobs in Las Vegas are being created we will experience a lot of job hopping as we always have.

    Sep
    18

    The State of Nevada Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund is dipping to record lows and will be in a negative position between the middle and end of October for the first time since the 1970s, said Cynthia Jones, Deputy Director of the Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation (DETR) and administrator for the DETR’s Employment Security Division.

    “We have already put the process in motion to borrow funds from the federal government, ensuring that we can continue, without interruption, to pay unemployment benefits,” Jones said.

    Nevada has submitted a letter to U.S. Department of Labor Secretary Hilda Solis, requesting up to $264 million in federal loans to meet state unemployment insurance obligations through December 31, 2009, Jones said. Thereafter loan requests may be submitted every 90 days.

    “The state is currently sending out $35 million per week in unemployment benefit payments — which includes federal extensions — to approximately 110,000 benefit recipients,” Jones said.  “Without drastic improvements in current economic conditions in Nevada, DETR estimates approximately $1 billion in federal loans will be necessary by the end of calendar year 2010.”

    Under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) provisions, interest on federal loans has been waived through the end of calendar year 2010. If another extension is not granted, Nevada would have to begin interest payments on the federal loans on September 30, 2011.

    The Employment Security Council will convene on October 6th, 2009 to hear information regarding the status of the Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund, benefit payments, tax collections and trust fund balance projections for this year, 2010 and future years.

    The council, which consists of nine members appointed by the governor, will discuss the unemployment insurance tax rate scheduled for the upcoming calendar year and strategies for repaying funds loaned by the federal government.

    The Council will be presented with a number of average tax rate scenarios (with associated tax schedules) and the resultant impacts on interest costs, loan repayment and strategies towards moving again towards reestablishing Trust Fund solvency and rebuilding sufficient reserves, Jones said.

    “Economic recovery that results in lower benefit payments and increased contributions will be key factors,” Jones said. “We realize that this is a topic of concern for everyone involved. We are facing an unprecedented economic situation here in Nevada and we must act prudently to ensure the needs of the unemployed are met as expected and mandated.”

    This meeting also serves as the public regulation workshop for the establishment of the tax schedule for 2010 and will be publicly noticed.

    The rate strategy adopted for 2010 and subsequent years will impact the amount ultimately borrowed and interest expenses incurred, Jones said.  The tax schedule is the vehicle by which experience rated employers (approx 55 percent of all employers) are assigned a tax rate for the upcoming calendar year. The statutory tax rates for experience rated employers range between .25 percent and 5.4 percent of the taxable wage base (first $27,000 earned by employee for 2010).

    Employers are assigned to one of 18 tax rates based on their experience record with the Unemployment Insurance program. New employers are not impacted as they are statutorily assigned a rate of 2.95 percent until such time they qualify for an experience rated account (approximately 3 years), Jones said.

    The council will hear any public and interested party input, deliberate the issue and recommend an average tax rate to the Jones, the Employment Security Division Administrator, for consideration. The regulation hearing for the adoption of the tax rate schedule regulation for calendar year 2010 is scheduled for Dec. 7, 2009. The new rate will take affect January 2010.

    Sep
    18

    There is a lot of argument out there as to the accuracy of the unemployment numbers.  Las Vegas has the highest level of unemployment it has ever seen….now at 13.4% with more jobs in Las Vegas lost than ever before..  But is this number accurate?  More than likely not.  At the Governors Workforce Investment Board (I was appointed to this board early this year) meeting yesterday, I heard that it could very likely be 75% higher.  That pushes us well over 20%. 

    So where is the discrepancy?

    • If workers have reduced hours and are not working full-time
    • If a worker is ‘underemployed’ – working a meaningless job just to get some type of pay
    • If a worker has given up on looking for a job, or what we call a discouraged worker

    There is not a perfect formula for measuring unemployment.  If you want to read a great article that provides much more detail – check this out.

    Sep
    18

    In August, Nevada’s unemployment rate continued to break records, coming in at a seasonally adjusted 13.2 percent, up 0.7 percentage point from the previous month, said William Anderson, chief economist for the Nevada Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation. That means 183,000 Nevadans were counted as unemployed. A year ago, the unemployment rate stood at seven percent.

    Trends in Nevada’s two major metropolitan areas are consistent with those evident statewide. In both Las Vegas (13.4 percent) and Reno-Sparks (12.4 percent), August unemployment rates are nearly double year-ago readings. (Unemployment rates for the State’s metropolitan areas are not adjusted for seasonality. For comparison purposes, the State’s unadjusted unemployment rate was 13 percent in August.)

    “Signs of stabilization in the national economy are beginning to emerge,” Anderson said. “Some analysts even argue that the recession is likely over, or will be over in the nearterm. However, such positive conclusions cannot be drawn in Nevada, based upon a current assessment of labor market and economic activity in the state.”

    Nevada has been hit relatively hard by this recession. At the start of the recession in December 2007, the state’s unemployment rate stood at 5.2 percent, essentially identicalto the national reading of 5 percent. However, the August jobless rate in Nevada stands 3.5 percentage points higher than the nation’s 9.7 percent.

    All told, job levels in Nevada totaled 1.18 million in August, a decline of 84,400 from a year ago. Only the education and health services sector managed to add workers, as payrolls in these establishments grew by 1,400 over the year. Elsewhere, more than 31,000 construction jobs were lost, more than a quarter of the workforce. The state’s largest sector, leisure and hospitality, cut almost 24,000 jobs relative to a year ago. Government employment stands 3,500 lower than in August 2008, Anderson said.

    As is the case with unemployment, a comparison of job and employment trends in Nevada relative to the nation as a whole highlights the fact that the state has suffered more than most during the current downturn. During the first several years of this decade, job growth in Nevada far exceeded that for the U.S. as a whole. In fact, just five years ago, in 2004, employment growth in Nevada, at 5.9 percent, was more than five times the rate of growth in the nation. So far this year, though, Nevada establishments have reduced employment by nearly six percent, far in excess of the 3.7 percent job cut nationwide.

    “There are certainly a number of factors accounting for the high unemployment rate in southern Nevada compared to the north,” Anderson said. “Perhaps the most important factor concerns differences in the structure, or industrial mix, of these two regional economies. The Las Vegas metro area is more concentrated in those industries/sectors which have been impacted the most by the current economic recession. For instance, as of August, 8.7 percent of all jobs in southern Nevada were in the hard-hit construction sector, compared to a 5.7 percent share in the Reno metro area. As consumers have cut back their discretionary spending, the state’s gaming activity has suffered considerably.

    In the Las Vegas metro area, leisure and hospitality establishments account for nearly 30 percent of all jobs in the region. In the Reno-Sparks area, leisure and hospitality’s share of total jobs is just 17.4 percent.

    Elsewhere in the State, Carson City’s unemployment rate came in at 12.1 percent in August up 5.4 percentage points from a year ago. In the State’s non-metro counties, Elko County was home to the lowest unemployment in August, at 6.5 percent. Lander County also had a relatively low reading, at 6.7 percent. The unemployment rate in Nye and Lyon Counties came in at 15.8 percent, the highest in the State. All told, eight of the State’s 17 counties had double-digit jobless rates in August.

    On the jobs front, employers in the Las Vegas metro area reduced payrolls by 60,400 in August, relative to a year ago. About two-thirds of these job losses were accounted for by construction and leisure and hospitality establishments. In the Reno-Sparks region, August employment readings were off by more than 18,000 over the year.

    “The recession’s impacts in Nevada are clearly evident in a quick review of several significant economic indicators,” Anderson said. Compared to pre-recessionary levels from mid-2007, the state’s unemployment rate is up 8.3 percentage points. Nearly 112,000 jobs have been lost. Monthly initial claims for unemployment insurance are up 11,000. Gaming win, measured on a monthly basis, is down nearly a quarter of a billion dollars. Monthly taxable sales are down by $1.1 billion.

    “Taken as a whole, conditions have deteriorated markedly,” Anderson said. “Looking forward, Nevada will certainly benefit as the national economy emerges from the recession. However, if consumers attempt to regain lost ground by continuing to reign in discretionary spending, economic recovery may be delayed in Nevada. The state’s longterm prospects, however, are more promising. While a return to the boom-like conditionsof the middle part of this decade is not expected, once a more promising economic environment emerges, we think Nevada will turn in a relatively solid performance.”

    Sep
    13

    The Squeeze

    Posted In: Older Worker by doug

    With the highest levels of unemployment there are two demographics that get squeezed: 

    1. The older worker
    2. The younger worker

    The older workers may have the ‘life’ experience, but employers are looking for stronger technical skills and do not want to pay the salaries that many of the older workers expect.

    The younger workers, although they have the technical skills, do not possess the real life working experience employers are looking for and employers are able to find overly qualified candidates willing to downgrade their skills to take a job.

    Las Vegas is in a unique position because these are our two largest demographics.  Older workers have been flocking to Las Vegas and it has become the 2nd or 3rd largest retirement destination in the United States.  Younger workers flock here to work in the hospitality industry, learning that many of these Las Vegas jobs do not exist anymore. 

    Interesting times out there.  Here is a great article that spells it out:  Layoffs toughest on workers young, older

    Sep
    11

    hc_job_creationThe most recent Economic INSight was released.  Basically, Nevada’s free fall to the bottom is starting to slow a little.  I guess we can look at that as some level of good news?  (I try to remain optimistic).  What is unique is that the only category where we have seen any positive job creation, rather than job loss, is in health care/education.

    The ironic thing is I am writing this post from Lake Tahoe after the Nevada Hospital Association Annual Conference has concluded and there is very little talk about new  health care jobs in Nevada being created.  Most hospital CEOs feel their retention levels have stabilized and the volume of job openings has decreased as nurses are staying in the workforce longer, working more hours and not job hopping as they once used to.

    Sep
    10

    aarp_bestThe folks over at Nevada Federal Credit Union (NFCU) cease to amaze me.  They have won nearly every award imaginable for building and maintaining a great workplace.   Most recently, AARP announced that NFCU was recognized as a “Best Employer for Workers Over 50.” 

    Actually, they were ranked # 14.  In 2008 NFCU made the list at # 41.  They are the only company in Nevada to win this award since the program was started nine years ago. 

    Congrats Michael T. and team!!!  You guys rock.

    Sep
    8

    We all know the power of internships….especially in economic downturns when managing human capital is so important.  UNLV will be hosting a great seminar presenting “Best Practices in Internships” Fall 2009 Employer Workshop at UNLV.  The seminar will be presented by Paul Carpino, UNLV Internship Coordinator.

    A few special guest speakers will be on hand, including: 
    Student Speaker, Ryan Foytik, DC Summer Intern, Sen. Harry Reid
    Employer Speakers: Shawnie McLaurin & Brent Losee, NV Energy

    Be sure to register for the event:
    Tuesday,October 27th, 2009
    8:00 am to 11:00 am
    UNLV Student Union

    Please register today on the CareerLink site below under “News & Events”
    Fee: $50 per person, includes Continental Breakfast, parking and “The Employer Guide to Internships.”

    http://hire.unlv.edu

    Sep
    8

    Retention by recession

    Posted In: Best Practices, Retention by doug

    Retention matters now more than ever.  Although you have experienced your retention numbers going up, it is more likely due to the economy and not the retention programs that you have been meaning to put in place.

    During economic slow downs, retention levels increase by default.  Simply put:

    1. Very few jobs exist right now
    2.  Job seekers are afraid to leave their job for another for fear that the new job may not last.  

    What is the saying…”The grass isn’t always greener on the other side.”  

    At the coffee shop the other day I overheard a conversation between two professionals.  One said to the other, “I’m kind of nervous to look for another job right now.  At least the one I have right now pays me each week and I know the company will be around next year.”

    I believe this is the general attitude of people nowadays.  So really….there is no better time to put additional focus on your retention programs and really ‘wow’ the employees you have.  Because when the economy rebounds (and it will), there will be a massive movement amongst all of our employment ranks.

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